Stirewalt on Politics

Every Saturday, Chris Stirewalt, a political news veteran, uses his decades of experience to provide context (and some humor) when explaining what happened this week in national politics.

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Average Joe

A median approach in pursuit of the median voter isn’t working for Biden on Israel.

Three Numbers, Six Months, and One Slog of a Campaign

Before thinking about the election, let’s think about the electorate.

A House (Narrowly) Divided

Why it is likely to stay that way, regardless of which party wins a majority in November.

There’s a Rhythm to the Swing States

We could learn a lot from Michigan and North Carolina in November.

Hard Numbers, Hard Spot for GOP on Abortion

The pro-choice contingent of the electorate had been growing since 2010. And then Roe v. Wade fell.

The Difference Between a Biden Loss and a Trump Win

How to read the latest polling on key swing states.

RFK Jr. Turns Left

His choice of running mate shows the independent’s growing danger to Democrats.

GOP Meets Limits to Donald Trump’s Victimhood Appeal

Trump and Republicans are failing to distinguish most voters from MAGA die-hards.

What’s a Non-White Voter Anyway?

Lumping together every person not of wholly European ancestry into one group is not particularly edifying.

A Shortcut Through the Long Campaign

We don’t have to get too wrapped up in the parties’ narratives at this point.

Will the Haley Voters Come Back in November?

And what will loyal but non-MAGA voters do?

Can Haley Wake Them Up in South Carolina?

Today’s primary will reveal if voters are growing weary of the outrages of Trump and Trumpism.

Biden and the Blank Space 

Progressive activists in Michigan are mounting a write-in campaign for ‘uncommitted.’

A 10-Word Epitaph for Democrats’ Hopes

Special counsel Robert Hur says the quiet part out loud.

Joe Biden Confronts a Weakened Coalition

South Carolina may be less dramatic this time for the incumbent, but it will still matter.

The Number That Will Forecast Biden’s Fate

Keep an eye on economic growth.