Plus, Hong Kong legislation heads to Trump’s desk. Will he sign it?
|Nov 25|| 20||1|
Happy Monday! Only one NFC North team won yesterday, and it wasn’t the Lions, Vikings, or Packers.
Quick Hits: What You Need To Know
Michael Bloomberg is in. The former New York mayor officially announced his candidacy Sunday, provoking headaches for the staff at his business news empire and grumbling from progressives unconvinced that the 2020 field needs another rich white centrist.
Entering the home stretch on impeachment, congressional Democrats are suddenly faced with a nerve-wracking question: Is this thing going to backfire in swing districts?
Elizabeth Warren is facing yet another round of questions about her honesty after a clip surfaced of her telling a school choice activist that her children had not attended private schools.
A shady business associate of Rudy Giuliani is accusing Rep. Devin Nunes of working to dig up dirt on the Bidens in Ukraine last year. Nunes responded to the allegations Sunday by complaining that the news media was conspiring against him. Eventually he denied the accusations.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg had another health scare over the weekend, spending two nights in the hospital over complications from a fever.
Former White House National Security Adviser John Bolton, who has been playing hard to get with impeachment investigators for weeks, is back on Twitter being a tease and touting the importance of next year’s congressional and presidential elections.
Navy Chief Thrown Overboard
Over the past two weeks, President Trump and Richard Spencer, his secretary of the Navy, have been feuding over the fate of a disgraced Navy SEAL, Eddie Gallagher. Gallagher faced several war crimes charges this year and was ultimately found guilty of taking a photograph with the corpse of an ISIS prisoner. The Navy wanted Gallagher to undergo an official review to determine if he should be expelled from the SEALs. But Trump, who has repeatedly shown a soft spot for American troops accused of (and sometimes convicted of) war crimes, disagreed and ordered him fully reinstated.
Late last week, several top Pentagon officials, including Spencer, reportedly threatened to resign rather than follow Trump’s order. (Spencer, who we should note is not the prominent white nationalist of the same name, denied that he had threatened to resign.) Then, on Sunday morning, a note of peace: the Associated Press reported that the White House had quietly given the Navy the go-ahead for Gallagher to undergo an official review.
But by Sunday afternoon, everything had melted down. The Pentagon suddenly announced that Defense Secretary Mark Esper had asked for Spencer’s resignation, with Esper and Trump providing divergent explanations as to why. Esper insisted it was not because Spencer had opposed Gallagher’s reinstatement, but because he had gone over Esper’s head to try to strike a secret deal with the White House. Meanwhile, Trump again insisted that Gallagher would be permitted to retire as a SEAL, and tweeted that he had asked Esper to fire Spencer for several different reasons, including his displeasure over how Gallagher’s trial was held and Spencer’s apparent failure to address “large cost overruns from past administration’s contracting procedures.”
It’s all a mess. Let’s unpack it a bit.
The Man in the Middle: Eddie Gallagher
Prior to the events that made him nationally notorious, Gallagher was one of the Navy’s most elite commandos—a special operations chief with five combat deployments with the SEALs and the recipient of several Bronze Stars. Late last year, however, he was arrested on charges of multiple war crimes. Members of his platoon testified that he had stabbed a wounded ISIS prisoner to death and that he had on multiple occasions deliberately fired on civilians, including a young girl.
It was a bumpy, awkward trial. Seven SEALs testified that Gallagher had stabbed the incapacitated prisoner; text messages showed Gallagher apparently bragging about the act to friends back home. “Good story behind this,” read one. “Got him with my hunting knife.”
But proceedings were muddied by several unusual moments. At one point, the military judge reprimanded the prosecution for interfering with the trial. At another, a prosecution eyewitness suddenly declared that, while Gallagher had stabbed the prisoner, it was he himself who had actually killed him—and that Gallagher should be allowed to go free. All the while, the defense maintained that the jury should discount the testimony of the other SEALs as the grumbling of disgruntled subordinates.
Ultimately, Gallagher was acquitted of murder and attempted murder, and found guilty only on the lesser charge involving the photograph. He was sentenced to time served and demoted. It’s the demotion that’s caused the spat between Trump and Spencer.
Trump Gets Involved
Here are two of the instincts that make up Trump’s view of the world: A fascination with America’s most fearless warriors, and a general disdain for what he sees as fussy rules, bureaucracy, and overall political correctness.
So it’s not surprising that the president has intervened in the cases of several U.S. troops accused or convicted of war crimes. “We train our boys to be killing machines, then prosecute them when they kill!” he tweeted last month. Trump has pardoned three soldiers this year who stood accused or convicted of murder, two of whom were subsequently released from prison. He also followed the Gallagher case, tweeting his congratulations when the SEAL was acquitted of murder earlier this year. And then, this month, he directed the Navy to restore him to his previous rank.
How Does Spencer Figure In?
This was unwelcome news both to Spencer and to the commander of the SEALs, Naval Special Warfare Commander Rear Adm. Collin Green. Over the weekend, conflicting news reports emerged suggesting either that both or that only Spencer had threatened to resign if Trump did not allow the military process to go forward.
If Spencer was fired for that reason, the story here is straightforward. As Spencer wrote in his “acknowledgment of termination” letter: He could not in good conscience carry out Trump’s order, and Trump deserves military officials who will follow his commands.
Esper is telling a different story entirely: That far from taking an above-board stand, Spencer was actually trying behind closed doors to bring the Gallagher matter to a close in a way that would satisfy Trump. But why Trump would fire Spencer for trying to give him what he wanted, and why Trump would then announce he’d fired Spencer for different reasons altogether, are questions without easy answers for the administration.
The conflicting accounts, and the presidential involvement, ensure that we’ll learn more in the coming days.
Hong Kong Legislation in Limbo
In Friday’s newsletter, we took a look at the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act—a piece of legislation and statement of American principles on its way to becoming law after breaking through all the partisan gridlock of our time. It passed the House 417-1 and the Senate unanimously. About an hour and a half later, President Trump called into Fox & Friends to catch up with his buddies, and—after spouting a Ukraine conspiracy theory so kooky even Steve Doocy had to ask “are you sure they did that?”—this happened:
Brian Kilmeade: [The Chinese] are calling on you to veto legislation coming out of the Senate that supports the Hong Kong students. What are you going to do?
President Trump: Well, I’ll tell you, look, we have to stand with Hong Kong, but I’m also standing with President Xi. He’s a friend of mine. He’s an incredible guy and we have to stand. But I’d like to see them work it out. Okay? We have to see him work it out. But I stand with Hong Kong. I stand with freedom. I stand with all of the things that we want to do. But we also are in the process of making the largest trade deal in history. And if we could do that, that’d be great. China wants it. We want it. And I will say this, if it weren’t for me, thousands of people would have been killed in Hong Kong right now. And you wouldn’t have any riots. You’d have a police state, but thousands of people. The only reason he’s not going in is because I’m saying it’s going to affect our trade deal, you don’t want to do that.
Trump’s National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien was similarly vague when asked over the weekend whether the president would veto the bill. “What’s happening in Hong Kong is terrible, and our hearts go out to the people of Hong Kong,” he said. “At the same time, we have a broad range of issues to deal with the Chinese on.”
How, exactly, is the president going to “stand with Hong Kong” and also stand with Xi? He’s not.
The Trump administration argues that signing the legislation would antagonize the Chinese amid trade negotiations he has prioritized for years. And Trump reportedly promised Xi he would stay quiet on Hong Kong. But China is brutally suppressing dissent and infringing on Hong Kong’s autonomy, shifting further and further away from the “one country, two systems” policy.
Marco Rubio, who introduced the bill back in June, tried to square these two lines of thinking in an interview with CNBC on Thursday, arguing that this isn’t the only opportunity the United States will have to address trade concerns. “We have to stop thinking about our conflict with China, economically, as one issue. This is going to be a 10 to 15 year balancing act between us and them, it’s not going to happen overnight. There isn’t one deal that’s going to deal with all these things.”
And if Trump does veto the bill to save face with Xi? Congress sounds prepared to overrule him for the first time in his presidency. The legislation “will become law,” Ted Cruz told The Dispatch in a statement after Trump’s faltering on Fox & Friends. “President Xi and the Chinese Communist Party cannot silence the United States Congress. In case they aren’t familiar with how our Constitution works, the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act passed the House and Senate by overwhelming veto-proof majorities.”
Under Article I Section 7 of the Constitution, Trump has 10 days (excluding Sundays) to veto the bill before its provisions go into effect.
Democracy Was on the Ballot, and It Won
As if there wasn’t enough going on in Hong Kong, the Special Administrative Region™ held local district council elections over the weekend, and pro-democracy candidates crushed their more Beijing-aligned opponents. An energized voter base showed up (turnout was the highest it’s been since district council elections were instituted in 1999) and swept allies of the Communist Party of China (CCP) out of power (pro-CCP officials held 300 seats prior to this weekend’s elections; now they occupy just 57). The state-run CCP newspaper only highlighted the turnout numbers. Curious.
Local district council elections may not be the pinnacle of Hong Kong politics, but they had taken on a new level of importance given the months of unrest in the region. Sunday’s results will undoubtedly provide a jolt to the protesters and their supporters worldwide
One of those supporters? Republican Senator Ben Sasse: “The results are clear: Hong Kongers reject the Chinese Communist Party’s oppression and intimidation. Chairman Xi and his corrupt elites in Beijing know this and are terrified of the courage that Hong Kong has shown. The American people are on the side of these freedom seekers.”
The election results may intensify pressure on Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam to yield to some of the protesters’ demands for reform.
Worth Your Time
Former Fox News executive Ken LaCorte says he wanted to launch a new platform for center-right news without the usual right-wing media histrionics. But he was having trouble getting much traction on Facebook, where histrionics are rocket fuel for a viral story. The solution, borrowed from fake news purveyors of recent years: Hire a bunch of Macedonian teens to create viral content rage farms for both sides of the aisle, and use those to drive traffic to the main site.
By now it’s been pretty well established that the Houston Astros are/were stealing signs. But here’s an interesting question: Did stealing all those signs, with the whole elaborate cameras-and-trash-can apparatus the scheme apparently required, even help? The Ringer’s here with a compelling argument that, hey, maybe not so much.
Presented Without Comment
After 18 long and frigid years, Winnipeg Blue Bombers fan Chris Matthew will finally be able to feel his legs again.
He pledged back in 2001 he wouldn’t wear pants until his favorite Canadian football team won the Grey Cup again. After nearly two decades of wearing exclusively shorts—to weddings, to funerals, in sub-zero temperatures—Matthew was finally able to don a special pair of camouflage pants after Winnipeg beat the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 33-12.
Toeing The Company Line
The first Sunday French Press focused on injecting “faith into politics, business, culture, and—well—everything” went out yesterday, with David using Mayor Pete to explain the differences between Evangelical and Mainline Protestants, both theological and political.
Let Us Know
Twitter was aflame over the weekend because some guy named Jon asked everyone for their “most controversial food opinion.” What’s yours?
Dippin’ Dots will never be the ice cream of the future
Chicago-style deep-dish is a casserole, not pizza
Cauliflower isn’t real
Steaks are best-prepared well-done and dunked in ketchup
Spam was invented by the CIA in the 1960s in an effort to assassinate Fidel Castro
Reporting by Declan Garvey, Andrew Egger, and Steve Hayes.