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A Weekend on the Brink

Israel prepares for a ground offensive in Gaza.
James Scimecca & Mary Trimble /

Happy Monday! If you turned off the Jets-Eagles game last night when you heard a certain pop star was not at Metlife Stadium, let us fill you in on what you missed: Gang Green grounded the previously undefeated Birds in their first win over the team in franchise history.

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Israeli soldiers on Saturday that “the next stage” of the war against Hamas was “coming,” as Israel called up 300,000 reservists and moved closer to a large-scale ground invasion of Gaza. The Israeli government instructed Palestinian civilians in the region’s northern half to evacuate in preparation for the escalation, but Hamas leaders have issued contradictory orders, telling civilians to remain in place. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported over the weekend it had killed several Hamas commanders responsible for last weekend’s devastating terrorist attacks.
  • Following the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford last week, the United States on Saturday sent a second carrier strike group—the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Groupto the Eastern Mediterranean Sea to act as deterrence for any escalation of violence in the Middle East. “There is a risk of an escalation of this conflict,” White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Sunday on Face the Nation. “The opening of a second front in the North, and of course of Iran’s involvement—that is a risk.” President Joe Biden spoke to both Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas by phone over the weekend, urging both to prevent the war from rippling throughout the region. In a 60 Minutes interview that aired Sunday, Biden said Israel should eliminate Hamas, but cautioned it would be a “big mistake” to occupy Gaza and stressed the need for a “path to a Palestinian state.”
  • Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian warned Sunday that if Israel didn’t “cease their atrocities in Gaza,” Iran would not be able to “remain an observer” in the conflict, adding that “significant damages” would also be “inflicted” upon the United States if the scope of the war expands. Iranian and Hamas leaders met in Qatar this weekend and “agreed to continued cooperation,” while Amir-Abdollahian praised the attack on Israel as a “historic victory.” Reuters also reported Friday that Saudi Arabia is engaging with Iran and putting normalization efforts with Israel “on ice.”
  • France raised its terror threat alert to its highest level Friday after a teacher was stabbed to death by a man connected to Islamic extremism. The attack—which also wounded three others—prompted French authorities to deploy 7,000 additional troops to maintain safety as the nation monitors an increase in Islamic terrorism seemingly tied to the Israel-Hamas war. The stabbing occurred on what a former Hamas leader declared a “Day of Rage,” which saw increased demonstrations in support of Palestinians, as well as the stabbing of an Israeli Embassy employee in Beijing.
  • Poland’s main opposition group, the Civic Coalition, declared victory in Sunday’s parliamentary elections this morning, after exit polls indicated that the nationalist Law & Justice Party had lost its bid for a third term. The opposition’s apparent win marks a return to what will likely be a closer relationship with the European Union for Poland, and could yield more Polish support for neighboring Ukraine.
  • House Republicans voted 124-81 on Friday to nominate Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan of Ohio as their next choice for speaker, and a full floor vote is tentatively scheduled for Tuesday. Jordan and his allies have launched an aggressive vote-whipping operation to ensure victory—though the pressure campaign has aggravated some members of the caucus. Meanwhile, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told Meet the Press on Sunday that “informal conversations” were happening with a bipartisan group of representatives to more quickly arrive at a consensus pick.
  • Republican Jeff Landry, Louisiana’s current attorney general, was elected governor of the state on Saturday, winning nearly 52 percent of the vote in a crowded, all-party contest. By garnering more than half of the ballots cast, Landry avoided a runoff election and flipped the Louisiana governor’s mansion from blue to red, replacing term-limited Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards.
  • A coalition of health care workers unions reached a tentative deal with Kaiser Permanente on Friday, potentially ending the largest health care strike in U.S. history. The contract, which still must be ratified, would raise wages by 21 percent over the next four years.

Israel Prepares to Strike Back

Israel Declares War Following Large-Scale Hamas Attacks
Israel Defense Forces soldiers walk through Kibbutz Be'eri where days earlier Hamas terrorists killed over a hundred civilians near the border with Gaza on October 11, 2023 in Be'eri, Israel. (Photo by Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

On October 7, hundreds of terrorists descended on Israel from the sky using paragliders, rushed in on the ground through holes dug in walls surrounding the Gaza Strip, and launched thousands of rockets indiscriminately into Israeli territory. Hamas—a Palestinian militant group and U.S.-designated terrorist organization—led the surprise attack, infiltrating villages and towns along the Gaza-Israel border. The fighters massacred men, women, and children—in their homes, in the street, even at a music festival—killing more than 1,400 Israelis and leaving more than 3,000 injured. Hamas terrorists also abducted more than 150 people and carried them back to Gaza—bounded on three sides by walls and on the fourth by the Mediterranean Sea—where many remain as hostages. The atrocities, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said in Israel this week, were “worse than what I saw with ISIS,” when he commanded U.S. military operations in the Middle East at the height of the terror group’s power. 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared war on Hamas last Saturday, vowing “the enemy will pay an unprecedented price.” As the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) regained control over the towns and kibbutzim Hamas fighters had infiltrated, it also began airstrikes on Gaza, which have killed at least 2,450 people over the last week, according to the Hamas-run Palestinian Health Ministry. A ground campaign in the Gaza Strip—from which Israel withdrew entirely in 2005—is imminent. More than 300,000 Israeli reservists have been called up to fight, and the IDF has amassed troops and vehicles to the north of Gaza. Over the weekend Israel ordered the evacuation of more than 1 million Palestinians in northern Gaza—which Hamas openly discouraged—urging them to move south in anticipation of the invasion. 

Questions abound as Israel—and the world—prepare for the next phase of the war: What would a ground offensive in such a densely populated region look like? What kind of U.S. support will Israel see? And in a region historically fraught with conflict, how do the events of the past week set this war apart?

For most of Israel’s history, the country’s main threat was from...

Worth Your Time

  • For Tablet, Armin Rosen looks at how Hamas was able to fool the world about its intentions for so long. “For the past 20 years, the best minds in Washington and Jerusalem treated Hamas as a pragmatic political operator whose leaders were satisfied living in the same world as the rest of us,” he writes. “Their charter, first adopted in 1988, endorsed a set of bloodcurdling millenarian goals. But despite the open madness and world-making ambitions of their public pronouncements, Hamas remained a semi-legitimate player, treated as just one unremarkable thread in the Middle East’s rich tapestry of mildly threatening, gun-toting political dreamers. Even to the most hardened Israeli security officials they were a Muslim Brotherhood offshoot whose extreme rhetoric and regrettably unshakable habit of murdering Jewish civilians could be understood within the normative politics of ‘resistance movements.’ Their behavior could therefore be modulated and controlled through a proper combination of sticks and carrots. This view is untenable after this weekend, but I understand why it existed for so long. I once held versions of it myself. I visited the Gaza Strip on a two-day reporting trip in the winter of 2014, a couple of months after what was naively thought of as a major round of fighting between Israel and Hamas. I joined the ranks of journalists stupid enough to believe what we thought we’d seen there.”
  • In an essay for Foreign Affairs, former Defense Secretary Robert Gates questions whether a divided America is up for the challenge of deterring bad actors around the globe. “Never before has [the United States] faced four allied antagonists at the same time—Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran—whose collective nuclear arsenal could within a few years be nearly double the size of its own,” he writes. “Not since the Korean War has the United States had to contend with powerful military rivals in both Europe and Asia. And no one alive can remember a time when an adversary had as much economic, scientific, technological, and military power as China does today. The problem, however, is that at the very moment that events demand a strong and coherent response from the United States, the country cannot provide one. Its fractured political leadership—Republican and Democratic, in the White House and in Congress—has failed to convince enough Americans that developments in China and Russia matter. Political leaders have failed to explain how the threats posed by these countries are interconnected. They have failed to articulate a long-term strategy to ensure that the United States, and democratic values more broadly, will prevail.”

Presented Without Comment

Axios: Moderates [Republicans] are growing increasingly irritated with the tactics [Rep. Jim] Jordan allies are using to pressure them into voting for him [for speaker], with one member noting the [Sean] Hannity show has gotten involved in the efforts sending potential defectors the email below.

Screenshot 2023-10-16 at 5.23.58 AM
(via Juliegrace Brufke, @juliegraceb)

Also Presented Without Comment

The Washington Post: Arkansas’ [Republican] Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders to Face GOP-Led Audit Over $19K Lectern

Toeing the Company Line

  • Alex fact checked some unproven, resurfaced claims that Rep. Steve Scalise has ties to white supremacists.
  • In the newsletters: The Dispatch Politics crew wondered if Trump’s comments on Israel will hurt him in the primary, Haley and Harvest explored (🔒) how lawmakers will support Israel in Congress, Jonah detailed the GOP’s long-running obsession with ideological purity, Nick asked (🔒) if Republicans and Democrats could possibly come together to elect a speaker, and Stirewalt reflected (🔒) on the Republican Party’s vocal minority.
  • On the podcasts: Jonah blasted the left for its wishy-washy response to Hamas’ massacre, and the right for losing the plot on America’s foreign interests. Meanwhile, Drucker interviews North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum about his presidential bid.
  • On the site over the weekend: Samuel Goldman reviewed Samuel Moyn’s Liberalism Against Itself, Christopher Scalia highlighted the irreplaceability of Shakespeare, and Drucker spoke with White House spokesman John Kirby about the Biden administration’s thinking on Israel.
  • On the site today: Paul Miller argues that the best way to support the Palestinians is to support the IDF, while Jacob Becker draws on the lessons of Leon Jaworski and the Nuremberg trials in the face of more atrocities committed against Jews.
James Scimecca is the editorial partnerships manager at The Dispatch, and is based in Washington, D.C. Prior to joining the company in 2023, he served as the director of communications at the Empire Center for Public Policy. When James is not busy generating shareholder revenue, he can usually be found running along the Potomac River, cooking up a new recipe, or scoping out a new karaoke bar.
Mary Trimble is a former editor of The Morning Dispatch.

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