The Morning Dispatch: Previewing Senate Predictions

Chris Stirewalt breaks down the 2022 map.

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Happy Friday! We had a bunch of Dispatch all-staff meetings yesterday, so today’s TMD is on the shorter side. But there are lots of exciting things coming, and we’ll be back with our regularly scheduled programming on Monday!

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • U.S. District Court Judge Aileen Cannon issued a pair of rulings on Thursday, appointing Raymond Dearie—a senior federal judge in New York—special master to review the documents the Justice Department seized from Mar-Lago last month for potentially privileged material. Dearie has reportedly accepted the position.

  • The bipartisan group of senators leading efforts to pass legislation codifying the right to same-sex marriages into federal law told reporters Thursday they would delay a vote on the bill until after the midterms in the hopes of securing more Republican votes. 

  • Freddie Mac reported Thursday the average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage reached 6.02 percent this week, surpassing the 6-percent mark for the first time since the financial crisis in 2008z

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  1. Avatar photo
    Leslie Frank

    QOTD: Not for a moment. He's just another politician who will say anything to get elected. Liz Cheney ia a much better statesman...and human.

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  2. John Hopkins

    All the information any of us needed to understand who won the election was available at the time of the election. Not everyone wanted to believe it, and quite a number of people who clearly understood the facts found it convenient to lie - especially in a primary election, when their opponent should be expected to tell the same lie for the same reason. Telling the truth now, in a general election where their opponent will certainly adhere to the facts, just demonstrates that they knew they were lying. A voter who truly finds a liar, especially on a matter of tremendous importance, unacceptable will have to vote for the opponent. The tactics are hazardous; the utter lack of ethics (to say nothing of morals) is transparent.

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    Brett Myers

    Love you guys, but it hard for me to understand why you continue to bury The Current at the end of your banner. I don't think you fully appreciate what your most valuable assets are yet. Some reflection on that instead of overly fawning over the new guy may be wise, is all I'm suggesting.

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  4. David B.

    QOTD: nobody buys this. Oh wait, there's still double digits out there that think the election WAS stolen. Probably a good strategy based on the current willful idiocy of the American electorate. 🙄😥

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    Ed G

    QOTD: he's lying. it was nothing more than a way to win the primary and beat Chuck Morse, a RiF (Republican in Fact), which he did by a touch over 2,000 votes out of ~140k vorts cast, (as per https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/sep13-2022-elections, with 97% reported).
    I think this just further convinces me of the need to reform primaries (along with the needed education/explainer campaign) to use Ranked Choice Voting (or some other https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condorcet_method) to force candidates to campaign to a wider base & secure wider support, both in the primary and the general. Perhaps just wishful thinking, but I imagine Chuck Morse winning in an RCV primary here in NH.

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  6. Linda

    Of course I don’t buy it. What a clown! As a New Hampshire resident I was going to sit this one out. Now I’m voting for the Dems (except for Sununu, unless he suddenly feels threatened and has to go full MAGA) because of the embarrassing ticket the Republicans have put forward, in particular Karoline Leavitt; but Bolduc is clearly no prize either. What a disgrace!!!

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    Bayesian

    Re the Grabow piece at NR and shipbuilding costs, for military shipbuilding, a source that I tend to have high trust for said recently that the UK's cost per ton for their new aircraft carriers (building costs, not design costs, though who knows how overhead gets allocated) is about one third that of the last few US Nimitz class carriers. Granted the fact that our carriers are nukes probably adds a lot, but the very troubled, plagued with cost overruns UK Type 45 destroyers are around $1.2B each including R&D, while Flight III Aegis destroyers (DDG-51) are $2.2B "procurement cost" (again, not sure about how overhead gets amortized).

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    Russell Board

    Of course I don't buy it. But note that if taken at face value, he is confessing that he was making radical claims without carefully examining the evidence, which should disqualify him for office.

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  9. Mike Johnson

    QOTD: Not surprised. Just a different way of appealing to the fringe right who vote in primaries and then changing the message to try to appeal to the broader middle of the road voters who are need to win the general. Not sure this bold move will work as it tends to be an issue that is binary for most voters. Switching positions becomes the issue which reminds primary voters that they were lied to and general election voters that the candidate can’t tell the truth. Some won’t care. The issue is whether enough can hold their nose and vote for him.

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  10. Mark Baur

    No, I don't buy it. This is just another clumsy cynical political maneuver by a craven, cowardly opportunist.

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