HOUSE FORECAST: CLIMATE CHANGE

It’s been more than six months since the first primary of the 2022 midterms and we still haven’t come to a satisfactory answer to the most important question of any cycle: What’s the climate like?

In most midterms of our era, it’s usually simple and brain-numbingly obvious before Labor Day. But here we are two months from Election Day, and we can’t say for certain. What was shaping up this spring to be an old-fashioned hurricane for the party in power broke up before it could make landfall, mostly owing to the arrogance of the most recent Republican president. Then, just as it looked like Democrats might escape unscathed, the party and its leader embarked on a ridiculous effort to actually change an issue set that was already moving in their direction.

As Casey Stengle would say: “Can’t anybody here play this game?”