Quote of the Week

“We often think about wave elections, but this year, we may think instead about a ‘waves’ election where unprecedentedly strong crosscurrents push voters in different directions, with an end result that may not be what we expected.”  Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt told NBC’s Mark Murray. 

GOP Still in the Driver’s Seat

The “Dems are winning everything” narrative came on strong a few weeks ago, but as plenty of us have pointed out, it was more wishful thinking combined with an uptick in Democratic voter enthusiasm than an actual change on the ground. The Senate has been and still is a coin flip for Republicans in a cycle in which they’re defending a lot of open seats in swing states (Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina), but the fundamentals haven’t changed:

The Dallas Morning News has Texas Republican Gov. Greg Abbott 9 points ahead of Democrat Beto O’Rourke—up two points from last month.

A new poll from the Utah Debate Commission shows Republican Sen. Mike Lee with an 11-point lead over his independent challenger Evan McMullin.