A Midterm Premortem

Tomorrow’s takes today.

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President Joe Biden speaks at a rally for New York incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul in Yonkers, New York. (Photo by Stephanie Keith/Getty Images.)

The day after a national election is the best day and the worst day in the life of a political junkie. It’s the best day because there’s so much stuff to read!

It’s the worst day because … there’s so much stuff to read.

Lots of “takes.” Oh, the takes.

So very many takes.

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Comments (135)
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  1. Avatar photo
    Ben Connelly

    This aged well…

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    Ms. SSM

    Predicting is hard!

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  3. Tim.Moore2

    Last I looked Kari Lake is trailing by the skin of her dentally polished clean teeth - about two tenths of a percent. She will not come out a glorious winner if she dopes win; but barely more acceptable than her competition. And if by some misbegotten and forlorn chance that Trump does try a run and she hooks her wagon to his "star", she may find it far more like tying onto a meteor flashing briefly across the heavens, to be almost immediately forgotten. God forbid that Trump should announce, unless God is really unhappy with us. Trump couldn't beat Biden last time, given that 34% of voters are Independent, 33% Democrat, and 29% Republican; the national press will have two years of blather and hate-spewing unless someone steps forward to challenge the clown car and provide a rational and viable candidate. If Trump gets the nomination the next President will be a Democrat, even if they run one who clearly is failing mentally. Which is not to say that Biden is. Or they run a publicly avowed Marxist. Which Biden clearly is not.

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    Ann-Marie Inglis

    yesterday when i commented, I was going along with the vibe because I was hearing the news about democrat mis-messaging and wokeness and inflation, blah blah blah but i was wrong not to listen to my smarter inner voice.
    as I opined "on the flip side, imagine the democrats hold on or win seats because of voters that the pollsters didn't reach, (shy abortion voters? or just missing the youth group in polls) can you imagine the feeding frenzy the right is going to have about the reliability of their polling. that's a scenario that would amuse me"

    I am so happy we were both wrong, those shy abortion voters and young voters really showed up for the democrats (though Florida is an outlier) - just outstanding!!!

    can't wait for your next take on the trump desantos match up - things just got funky

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  5. Ken Motamed

    Nick's premodern proves that we should stick to postmoderns.

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  6. John

    Nick. Look forward to your thoughts now. But cool a bit to get the big picture.

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    Michael Falciani

    Nick, you need to find Doc Brown’s time machine and go back to the exact time you clicked send in Outlook yesterday and slap your own hand to stop you from doing it.

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    Mick Staton

    I don't think your predictions aged well.

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    Charles

    Kudos to you, Nick, for putting your neck out there with this. I suspect that you rarely have been happier to have been wrong.

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    1. Mwupton

      Predictions are hard, especially ones about the future. I had this unread in my inbox until this morning, and was glad to see most of it didn't come to pass. As an anti-Trump Republican voter, narrow control of one chamber and watching the worst elements of the GOP get kicked to the curb isn't a terrible outcome. DeSantis ascendant is great, as the only foreseeable non-Trump candidate for 2024.

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  10. Wes.Bridges

    We’ll, then. Guess the coin landed on its edge this time.

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    1. Lemuel

      That's a GOOCHER!

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