The Sweep: The GOP 2024 Primary Primer, Part Four

Plus: Is it good for the Democrats if bipartisan infrastructure legislation falls apart?

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Our summer odyssey continues as we visit some more potential contenders for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Anonymous sources continue to hint at a Trump run:

From Rolling Stone: Trump Is Telling His Dinner Pals He’s Planning to Run for President in 2024

From Politico: Trumpworld is already weighing veeps for 2024. Hint: It ain’t Pence. 

From the New York Times: Why I’m Sure Trump Will Run for President in 2024

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  1. Avatar photo
    Jason Gibson

    I am very pro the candidates profiled today. However I have little hope for them.

    Larry Hogan is awesome and would have done very well in 1948 in place of Thomas Dewey but I just don't see the marketable personality that would be needed.

    Chris Christie continues to be a favorite. I still listen to old clips of him on youtube. I would be happy if he had an act two but I really feel that it was 2016 or bust.

    Still hoping for Ben Sasse candidacy

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  2. N D

    Lately I've been wondering about something that might be obvious to other people, but that's bugged me lately. It seems that whenever a successful famous person decides to run for office, they always choose to run for the relevant "top dog" office (i.e. big city mayor, governor, president). There is the obvious reason of having a huge ego, Dunning-Kruger effect, and the desire for attention. This seems to apply both to people I'm favorably disposed towards (Carly Fiorina, Larry Elder, Larry Hogan), people I dislike (Donald Trump, Tom Steyer, a bunch of celebrities who run as Democrats), and people I'm indifferent towards (Andrew Yang, others I can't recall).

    Especially for those who have already run for a higher office and failed (Carly, Steyer, Yang), why don't they ever seem to run for lower profile offices, such as smaller-city or county mayor, city council/county council, state legislature, etc.? I don't know much about Kane's tenure as Knox County Mayor in TN, but why don't more people take that approach to transitioning from celebrity to politician? It seems to me that high name ID and lots of money would make it much more likely for the high-profile outsider to win lower elected offices if their goal is to use the political process to solve problems and help people.

    Is it just as simple as people who are at the peak in one field not wanting to start over at a lower level in a new field, or are there other institutional or social reasons for this? Or am I completely misreading the situation?

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    Earl King

    Trump may win the Primary if 15 or 20 people enter. That is the problem as surely he will lose the general even to a feeble Biden. Why would he lose? Chaos only is attractive for a little while when voters are angry. Trump has another problem. No new ideas. The voters rejected him for those two reasons. Nothing new and chaos. What has changed? Liz Cheney? Nope. Her hawkish foreign policy stance is not in line with public opinion. I also say this.....while there are those who may like Liz Cheney's Charge of the Light Brigade approach remember two things. The Brigade was killed, wiped out and nobody and I mean nobody likes a traitor. It is one thing to attempt to sleigh Trump....It is totally another to be used by Nancy Pelosi as a stooge.

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    C C Writer

    Hogan: I could see it.
    Liz: We need her to stay in the House so she can become Speaker.
    Christie: I'd like to know more about his odyssey from Trumpist to Trump critic.

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    Anne W (Raw5254)

    Unless there’s a chance of someone who is not going to suck up to Trump running in the Republican primaries, then count me out. I would love to see Larry Hogan run, and I admire Liz Cheney for sticking to her guns. She hasn’t faltered, despite all the awful things being said by her fellow Republicans (for whom I have no respect). I actually like Christie in a number of ways, but he’s typical in that he seems willing to change his tune in order to succeed personally. That worries me.

    And the infrastructure bill is a mess! Yes, everyone likes free stuff, except for the fact that it’s NEVER free!! Someone is going to pay, and it’s going to be us.

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    1. Natty Bumpo

      Agree on the three highlighted here. I could vote for any of them and if Hogan or Cheyney run in the primaries, and are still alive by the time PA votes, I might change registration again to vote for one of them. But no chance of either winning against orange man or probably any of the other likely suspects.

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        Anne W (Raw5254)

        That’s so depressing. I’m praying Trump doesn’t run, and I honestly feel bad for saying that I wish something would happen to him so he can’t run.

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  6. RedBeardRob

    "If the centrist wing of the Republican Party were a teenage boy in the 1970s, Larry Hogan would be a poster of Lynda Carter."

    Fantastic line, but as someone who became a teenage boy in the 2000s, I feel compelled to point out that appreciation of Lynda Carter's beauty transcends generations.

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    David M

    Sarah has a remarkable stable of great writers today!

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  8. CWB3

    I could likely get behind Larry or Liz. Therefore they both are doomed!

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      Anne W (Raw5254)

      I could see Liz as his VP, but that’s wishful thinking.

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      1. Avatar photo
        Karyllcooper

        Since we're being wishful, I'd love to see Larry as Liz's VP.

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          Anne W (Raw5254)

          Okay, I could do either way. I just think Liz is too controversial as a presidential candidate on the Republican ticket, but Larry could always make her VP.

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          1. Avatar photo
            Karyllcooper

            You're right, of course. Still, we can dream...

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  9. Jack Zentrist

    Indeed we hold contradictory views!

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  10. Avatar photo
    Victor Clairmont

    Cheney would have more success running as a Democrat than a Republican at this point.

    In no way, do I see, any of the populist or even many of the center right Middle East war weary folks voting for her.

    Such is the nature of politics at this moment.

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