Republicans are very much struggling these days to remember the lessons of the past three election cycles:
In 2018, the party saw its worst midterm shellacking since the post-Watergate massacre of 1974.
In 2020, Donald Trump joined Herbert Hoover, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush to become only the fourth president in a century not to win re-election.
In 2022 Republicans had the party’s weakest midterm showing against a first-term Democratic president since JFK 60 years prior.