Can a candidate polling at 2.4 percent properly be said to have “momentum”?

Maybe not. When you’re in seventh place—behind Chris Christie, for cripes’ sake—you’re not lighting the political world on fire. Vivek Ramaswamy won’t be the Republican nominee for president, we can safely say.

That he won’t end up finishing second in the primaries, ahead of Ron DeSantis, is less safely said.

The national polling average suggests that the businessman from Ohio is no threat to the governor of Florida, who stands at 20.9 percent. But some surveys published over the last month show signs of growth for Ramaswamy, distinguishing him as the only Republican in the field whose numbers are trending upward.