Inflation

Will Donald Trump Make Big Gains Among Young Voters?

There’s reason for skepticism, but even a moderate improvement for Trump with that cohort could prove fatal to Joe Biden’s reelection.

Now’s Not the Time to Double Down on Protectionism

Trade restrictions aren’t the biggest driver of inflation, but their effects aren’t trivial, either.

Measuring the Economy Under Donald Trump and Joe Biden

A scorecard circulating on social media uses old data.

Fact Checking President Biden’s State of the Union Speech

He made dubious claims about billionaires’ tax rates, inflation, the pandemic-related economic crisis, and more.

Unfrozen Caveman Tucker

Simple folk wisdom can be persuasive, even when pushed by an obvious phony.

The Problem With ‘Monetizing the Debt’

Just printing more money won’t solve our problems.

Some of My Big 2024 Questions

Will we avoid a recession? Will China’s recovery continue to fizzle? Is this the year for AI? And more.

How Much Would Kevin McCallister’s Shopping Trip Cost in 2023?

Contemporary comparisons tend to leave out the increase in wages.

Why ‘Dollarize’?

Argentina embraces a gimmick.

Over the River and Through the Recession

Despite the malaise, the U.S. economy continues to defy expectations.

Americans’ Grim Views of the Decent U.S. Economy Are Perfectly Understandable

High prices for food and gas and elevated interest rates are more visible than more encouraging big-picture indicators.

The Federal Reserve Hits Pause

The central bank holds interest rates steady but signals more hikes could come.

Yes, Mortgage Rates Have Gone Up During the Biden Presidency. Here’s Why.

The pandemic had something to do with it, but so did policy.

Federal Reserve Pauses Rate Hikes

Plus: A rare staff editorial.