There has been much optimism among Democrats that the most recent spate of Supreme Court decisions will have a similar effect on the electorate as the court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade did in the 2022 midterms.

Certainly there will be some benefits to Democrats with voters frustrated by the justices’ swatting down of President Biden’s bid to forgive student loan debt. That could be significant especially in Senate races where the blue team needs to crank up base turnout for moderate candidates in competitive contests in swing states. Of course, the decision, insofar as it lingers in the public consciousness, cuts the other way, too. 

There are plenty of voters who may have trouble with the overall direction of the Republican Party under the leadership of Donald Trump who still think that the court was right to reject a $600 billion gambit from the incumbent. The same goes for the ruling on the website designer who didn’t want to render her services for a same-sex wedding. It will stir up the left, but also please the Trump-skeptical right that sees the new direction of the high court as a lasting good of a flawed presidency.

On ending affirmative action in college admissions, the decision seems very much in line with public sentiment. Even among black voters the policies were intended  to benefit.